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1.1.Introduction
Truthandcausewereandremaincategoriesofnotions.Theyhavebeen
thesubjectofhotdebatesfromantiquitytothepresent.Suchdiscussions
havebeencarriedoutbyrepresentativesofallfieldsofscience,arts,profes-
sions,agegroups,nationsandraces,boththeoreticiansandpractitioners.
Ineconomics,thepositiveroleofthesecategorieswasparticularlyunder-
linedbyT.KoopmansandH.SimonfromtheCowlesComission,aswell
as,R.Frisch,J.Tinbergen,O.Lange,M.Kalecki,J.M.Keynes,M.Allais,
C.Granger,H.Wold,R.Bassman,R.Strotz,andlater,e.g.B.Stigum
andK.Hoover.Ourpresentationof38notionsoftruthandmorethan30
notionsofcauseismainlybasedonCorpusAristotelicumwrittenbyAn-
dronikosfromRhodos(Ic.B.C.),andknowntouse.g.fromitsPolish
translationin9Volumeswithancientandmoderncommentariestakenfrom
theappropriatetranslationsintothemainEuropeanlanguages.Ifthereare
errorsintheseinterpretations,theauthortakesresponsibilityforthem.It
ishardtosaytodaywhetherourmodernunderstandingofthe7ancient
Greekwordsforutruth”and67wordsforuuntruth”,aswritesJ.Woleński,
isexactlythesameunderstandingasancientGreeksusedindaytodaylife.
Similarremarksmaybeformulatedforthewordsucause”anduuncause”.A
growingtendencycanbeobserved,beginningintheXIXc.,amongboth
scientistsandnon-scientiststoaccepttheviewthatwecannotrecognizethe
precisecausesofreallifefacts,events,phenomenaandprocessesandthe
truthaboutthemishidden,latent.Thustheonlythingwecandoistoes-
timatetheprobabilitiesoftheiroccurrence.Thisstancehasbeenaccepted
evenbyphysicists,chemists,engineers,physiciansandeconomists.
Nowadays,inalltypesofsciences,aswellasthelifeofsocieties,the
languageofstochasticsisincommonuseasawaytospeakaboutourigno-
ranceregardingwhysomethinghappens.Thequestionofhowhasbecome
moreoftenaskedthanquestionofwhy,becauseoftheideologicalimpact
oftheEnlightenmentandPositivism,togetherwiththerapidprogressin
inventingnewtoolsofmeasurement,productionandexperimentation.The
XXc.technologicalrevolution,resultinginthemassiveuseofpersonalcom-
putersandsmartphones,aswellaseasyaccesstouser-friendlyprogramming
packagescarryingoutlogicalandmathematicalcomputationsandpresent-
ingmultidimensionalgraphics,hascreatednaturalgroundsformakingem-
piricalresearchaccessibleandenjoyableresearchconnectedwithsimple
questionsofhowempiricalprocessesbehaveandwhatarethechancesof
theirpatternsofevolutionrepeatinginthefuture.