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Tableofcontents
INTRODUCTION.
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ANOVERVIEWOFTHEINTERNATIONALSITUATION-
GLOBALANDREGIONALASPECTS.
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24
Powerpoliticsisback(24);TheUS,orApoliticalrollercoaster(29);Aworldofpowerpolitics:
Sino-Russiainitselement(35);Europebetweenarockandahardplace(40);Summary(43).
THEOBSERVATORYOFSECURITY
NATO:FIGHTSOVERFINANCES,ONGOINGREFORMS,
ANDGROWINGCONCERNSFORTHEFUTURE.
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47
Thegeostrategiccontext:Theclimateisgettingworse(47);(Re)transformationofNATO:Politi-
callywaning,militarilyontherise(49);Operationsandpartnerships:Iraqreturnsandthe‘Ma-
cedonianOdyssey’finallyends(55);Conclusion:Acloudonthehorizon(58);Summary(59).
COMMONSECURITYANDDEFENCEPOLICYIN2018-
WHEREAREPESCOANDEDFGOING?.
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61
Circumstances:FightswiththeUSandinternaldebates(61);CSDPreforms:PESCOandEDF
aregainingspeed(63);Operationalactivity:AdebateoverportsandCCC(CivilianCSDPCom-
pact)(70);Summary(79).
AREDALERTFORTHEWORLD-
THEACTIVITYOFTHESECURITYCOUNCILIN2018.
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80
Ifit’stheMiddleEastontheagenda,it’stimetoveto(81);FixeditemsintheSCprogram:
Africa’sdominantplace(83);Revitalizationofpeaceoperations(86);Poland’sactivityinthe
SecurityCouncil(89);Summary(94).
THENEWSTARTANDINFREGIMESINTHELIMELIGHTIN2018.
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Thesystemofnucleararmscontrolonthebrinkofcollapse(96);TheNewSTART:Sofarso
good,butwhatnext?(99);TheINFtreatyin2018,likelythelastyearofitsoperation(108);
Summary(115).
THEWARSINSYRIA,IRAQ,AFGHANISTAN.
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Syria.ThesocalledIslamicStatedefeated.Theoppositiononthedefensive(116);Iraq.Neither
warnorpeace(121);Afghanistan.Thebloodiestyearinthehistoryofthewar(124);Summary
(127).
CONFLICTSINAFRICAANDYEMENIN2018-EXPANSIONOFJIHADISTS
VS.GROWINGINTENSITYANDINTERNATIONALIZATION.
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ConflictsinMaghrebandSahel:ExpansionandreconfigurationofJihadistgroups(129);The
Babal-Mandebregion.TheSomaliandtheYemeniconflicts(138);Summary(142).
ENERGYANDCLIMATE-CONTEMPORARYTRENDSANDCHALLENGES
OFENERGYSECURITY.
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.144
Globalandregionalsupplyanddemandtrendsontheenergymarket:Towardsenergytrans-
formation?(144);Ecologyvs.Geopolitics:ClimateandenergypolicyintheCOP24year,and
energysecurity(153);Summary(159).
