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MohammadHoushisadat
LNG,shippedbytankersandre-gasifiedatthedestination.LNGtrading
hasmoreglobalisedsuppliersthandoespipeline29andhasbecomemore
popularinrecentyearsbecauseofitsflexibilityoverdistances,theshorter
durationofcontracts,andreductionincostsintheLNGvaluechaindueto
technologicaladvances.ItisworthmentioningthatanothersurgeinLNG
trademaybecominginthe2015-2025timeframe,whileglobalLNGtrade
morethandoubledfrom2000to2010.30So,LNGtrading,comparedto
pipelinegasflows,willincreasetoabove46%by2035.31Inordertomeet
thisconsumptiongrowth,theworld’sgasproducerswillneedtoincrease
suppliesbyaround65%duringthenexttwodecades.32
EUEnergyMatters
EnergyconcernsformedapartofthefoundationofEuropeanintegration
afterWorldWarII.TheEUstrategyonenergysupplyhasemphasisedshifting
togreateruseofnaturalgas,leadingtothepublicationofthegreenpaperon
“SecurityofSupply.”33EnergysecuritywasputontheEUpoliticalagenda
withthegreenpaper’sadoptionon8March2006,aswellastheLisbon
TreatyonFunctioningoftheEU(TFEU),whichprovidedalegalbasisfor
EUenergypolicy.Aspectsofenergysecurityanditsindicatorshavebeen,
moreover,laiddownintheEUEnergyStrategyfor2020andaEuropean
Commissionstatementin2011.
TheEUholdslessthan1.3%ofprovenglobalgasreserves;nonetheless,
EUgasproductionin2010was5.5%oftheglobalshare,whileitsconsumption
hasbeen15.5%ofworlddemand.34Moreover,theshareofnaturalgasin
Europe’stotalprimaryenergysourcedemandhasgrownfrom18%in1990
to24%in2009,35andisexpectedtoriseto30%by2030.36
AccordingtoBPin2011,EUgasproductionin2000wascloseto
232bcmandcloseto175bcmin2010,or5.5%ofglobalgasproduction,37
29
Ibidem,p.63.
30
EnergyInformationAdministration,op.cit.,p.56.
31
BritishPetroleum,EnergyOutlook2035,op.cit.,p.57.
32
EnergyInformationAdministration,op.cit.,p.49.
33
EuropeanCommission,GreenPaper:TowardsaEuropeanStrategyfortheSecurityof
EnergySupply,COM(2000)769final,Brussels,2000,p.44.
34
BritishPetroleum,StatisticalReviewofWorldEnergy,London,January2011,pp.22-23.
35
Eurostat,TheDGENERGYoftheEuropeanCommission’sMarketObservatoryforEnergy
andKeyFigures,June2011,p.11.
36
DataisfromEurogas,NaturalGasDemandandSupplyinLong-termOutlookto2030,
2010,p.3.
37
BritishPetroleum,StatisticalReviewofWorldEnergy,op.cit.,p.22.
14
ThePolishQuarterlyofInternationalAffairs,2015,no.1