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MOHAMMADHOUSHISADAT
PersianGulfGasandLNG
intheEU’sGoalsforSecurityofGasSupplyby2030
Abstract
Energyisamajorchallengeinthe21stcenturyandtheenergymixin
theworldwillchangeinthefuture,predominantlyfromoiltorenewable
energysourcesandnaturalgas.TheEuropeanUnionwillbetheforemostgas
importerby2030,andtherateofLiquefiedNaturalGas(LNG)importswill
doubleby2020.TheUK,France,SpainandItalyarethemainEUentrypoints
forLNGimports,withapproximately80%oftheregionalterminalslocated
inthosecountriesandaccountingforsome87%oftheUnion’sLNGneeds.
ThediversificationofLNGroutesandsuppliersinthecompetitiveLNG
marketofthefutureisanimportantobjectiveofEUenergypolicy.Itseems
thatthelow-cost,high-riskPersianGulfgas-richareacouldbeinfluentialin
theUnion’sneedforsecurityofitsenergysuppliesinthefuture.Thecurrent
research,furthermore,aimstoanalysetheroleofactualQatariLNGexports
andthepotentialforIranianLNGexportstotheUK,France,SpainandItaly
inthecomingyears.Thismultiplecase-studycentresonacomparisonof
thevariousactualandpotentialLNGsupplierstotheEUbytestingthefour
indicatorsofenergysecurity:acceptability,availability,affordability,and
accessibility.ItwillfinallyattempttodeterminethepositionofthePersian
GulfanditsmainregionalLNGsupplierswithrespecttothemainglobal
exporterstotheEU.
ThePolishQuarterlyofInternationalAffairs,2015,no.1
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