Treść książki

Przejdź do opcji czytnikaPrzejdź do nawigacjiPrzejdź do informacjiPrzejdź do stopki
A
R
T
I
C
L
E
S
WieśiRolnictwo4(173)/2016
ISSN0137-1673
doi:10.7366/wir042016/01
KatarzynaZawalińska,
AnnaCiechomska,
BłażejJendrzejewski
ChallengesforModellingCAP2014-2020
withinCGEModelFramework
Abstract:ThepaperdiscussesvariousapproachestomodellingmeasuresoftheCommon
AgriculturalPolicy(CAP)withinacomputablegeneralequilibrium(CGE)framework
forthenewbudgetaryperiod2014-2020.Thetaskofmodellingsuchacomplexpolicy
astheCAPwiththeuseofCGEisnoteasyatleastforthreereasons.First,thepolicy
itselfisverycomplex-Pillar2aloneincludesabout17veryheterogeneousmeasures,
whichdifferintermsofimplementationandeligibilitycriteria.Pillar1measuresarenot
targeted(intermsofgoodsandservicesthatmaybeboughtwiththesefunds)andthus
theassessmentoftheirimpactrequiresadditionalknowledgeonhowtheywerespent.
Second,althoughCGEmodelsrepresentallsectorsoftheeconomy,yettheynormallydo
notcharacteriseindividualsectorswithsuchaprecisionaswouldbedesiredformodelling
thenuancesoftheindividualCAPmeasures.Third,theCAPevolvestowardslesstangible
measures(riskmanagement,qualityimprovements,conditionalitybasedonenvironmental
requirements),andtowardsincreasingroleofnon-marketedgoods(provisionofpublic
goods,environmentalamenities,foodsafety).Thereisalsoanincreasingroleofhuman
capitalmanifestedbye.g.bottom-upapproachesorco-operationmeasures.They,however,
aredifficulttograspbytheCGEmodelssincetheyarenotdirectlyobservedorlinkedtothe
exogenousvariablescontrolledinthistypesofmodels.Whiletakingallthechallengesinto
accountandrelayingonaliteraturereviewthearticlepresentssomesolutionandmakes
suggestionsforpossiblewaysofmodellingnewCAP2014-2020withinCGEmodelling
frameworkwhichmaybeusefulinthepolicyevaluation.
Keywords:evaluationofagriculturalpolicy,CGE,modellingCAP2014-2020.
TheauthorsareresearchesoftheInstituteofRuralandAgriculturalDevelopmentofthePolishAcademy
ofSciences(IRWIRPAN),ul.NowyŚwiat72,00-330Warszawa(KatarzynaZawalińska,e-mail:kzawalinska@
irwirpan.waw.pl;AnnaCiechomska,e-mail:aciechomska@irwirpan.waw.pl;BłażejJendrzejewski,e-mail:
bjendrzejewski@irwirpan.waw.pl).
WieśiRolnictwo4(173)/2016
9