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Introduction
Parttwo:TeComingWarsreferstothethesisofOleWæver
thatsocietalsecurityconcernstheabilityofasocietytopersist
initsessentialcharacterunderchangingconditionsandpossi-
bleoractualthreats.Morespecifcally,itisaboutthesustaina-
bility,withinacceptableconditionsforevolution,oftraditional
patternsoflanguage,culture,association,andreligiousand
nationalidentityandcustom.6Aglanceattheadoptedcriteria
ofchallengesandthreatstosecurityshowsasimpledepend-
ence:anincreaseinmilitarypotentialmayleadtoadecline
insecurity,thusdismissingdreamsofdebellicisation-the
endofwarorceasingwarfare.Bothmassarmiesandbrilliant
militarystrategistsarebeingreplacedbynewtechnologiesfor
conductingcombatoperationsandcontrollingcommandsys-
tems,suchasC4J:Command,Control,Communication,Com-
puting,Intelligence.Still,thewaritselfisnotamathematical
construct,operatingaccordingtodevelopedalgorithms.War
willremainaphenomenonrootedinculture,governedbythe
normsandvalues,traditionsandpracticesofagivenhuman
community.Hencethethreatstotheuseofthewarpolicyin
theconfrontationbetweentheauthoritarianandpopulistco-
erciveeconomyoccurringin2019incountrieswith1/3ofthe
world’spopulation7(China,theRussianFederationand19oth-
ercountries)andtheeconomiesofdemocraticsystemsbased
onchecksandbalance,independentcourtsandtheruleoflaw.
Intheiranalyses,theaboveissuesarereferredtoby:Szymon
Kochanowski:Predictingfuturewars;PatrykReśkiewicz:Te
conceptof“newgenerationwars”inRussianmilitarythought,
MateuszŁochowski:Teuseofautonomouscombatsystemsin
armedconflicts,ZuzannaSzpakowska:“Otherwars”–oldand
newactors,andBarbaraDąbrowska:ITtechnologyandarti-
6O.Wæver,SocietalSecurity:theConcept,[in:]O.Wæver(eds.),IdentityMi-
grationandtheNewSecurityAgendainEurope,London1993,p.17etal.
7V-DemInstituteReport,Göteborg2020.
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